Fuente: WIPO "circular economy" The invention discloses an intelligent guidance system and method for predicting ship navigation disturbance release based on machine learning. The intelligent guidance system comprises a data acquisition module, a machine learning analysis module and a ship navigation prediction feedback module. A channel water pollution prediction model is constructed through a machine learning algorithm, the concentration of pollutants in overlying water of a channel after a ship passes is predicted in real time, and an optimal route is recommended after water environment protection and economic benefits are comprehensively considered, so that the ship is guided to sail. The problem that endogenous pollution release caused by ship navigation disturbance is difficult to predict and control is solved, ecological protection is considered while ship transportation is developed, the method has the advantages of automation, high efficiency, accuracy, flexibility and the like, and technical support is provided for controlling water environment risks in a navigation channel.